Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.331620 0.357304 0.384802 0.416561 0.452400 0.491786 0.538615
2025-02-02 0.291455 0.331094 0.377127 0.435290 0.507940 0.597271 0.718033
2025-02-09 0.256690 0.302815 0.359663 0.436628 0.541051 0.682609 0.898523
2025-02-16 0.227698 0.275951 0.338052 0.426636 0.554944 0.743649 1.064360
2025-02-23 0.209164 0.259300 0.326251 0.426244 0.579995 0.824489 1.288733
2025-03-02 0.192340 0.242628 0.311736 0.418804 0.591737 0.885843 1.504064
2025-03-09 0.178159 0.227957 0.298031 0.410002 0.598730 0.939689 1.729462
2025-03-16 0.166557 0.215753 0.286428 0.402503 0.605895 0.994897 1.987761
2025-03-23 0.160742 0.211235 0.285563 0.411725 0.643613 1.120624 2.511005
2025-03-30 0.152220 0.202019 0.276570 0.406080 0.652462 1.187677 2.923334
2025-04-06 0.141872 0.189376 0.261202 0.387711 0.633456 1.185668 3.105976
2025-04-13 0.132599 0.177833 0.246782 0.369614 0.612394 1.173829 3.250189
2025-04-20 0.128511 0.174244 0.245287 0.375294 0.643204 1.308365 4.203162
2025-04-27 0.126947 0.174536 0.250282 0.393855 0.706830 1.566096 6.421470
2025-05-04 0.122483 0.169968 0.246794 0.395958 0.734234 1.734740 8.801106
2025-05-11 0.116684 0.162908 0.238505 0.387654 0.735121 1.818261 10.951852
2025-05-18 0.112674 0.158506 0.234477 0.387439 0.756345 1.989859 15.609909
2025-05-25 0.108057 0.152845 0.227815 0.381027 0.760220 2.098894 20.937373
2025-06-01 0.103625 0.147261 0.220918 0.373395 0.759413 2.190634 28.121788
2025-06-08 0.099682 0.142301 0.214830 0.366875 0.760562 2.295237 39.946547
2025-06-15 0.098017 0.141066 0.215415 0.374901 0.805502 2.655549 103.420799
2025-06-22 0.094762 0.136969 0.210436 0.369991 0.810757 2.812867 220.268172
2025-06-29 0.090289 0.130616 0.200920 0.353981 0.778765 2.730483 256.664252